BTC Flow Analysis — August 05, 2024 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,568,497 trades
Summary
On Monday, August 05, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -7.1% to $54,019. Net flow: -7,339 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Someone was moving size. 8 bars between 01:08–16:03 UTC registered trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 4.7σ), pushing 1,382 BTC net selling.
Day 10 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
From $49,000 to $58,306 — a 16.0% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 72% of the net flow (7,981 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-8,678 BTC), buyers dominated late (+1,339 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -9.43%, Europe -1.37%, US +3.98% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -9.43% | -7981 BTC | 72% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.37% | -1223 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.98% | 1865 BTC | 17% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -4.3σ from the bull-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 7,339 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
Even by bull-regime standards, -7.12% was extreme — -2.7σ from the +0.34% average. This wasn't a normal bull day.
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Related Days
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