BTC Flow Analysis — August 26, 2024 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,152,841 trades
Summary
August 26, 2024: Bitcoin sold off -2.2%. The 1,479 BTC of net selling flow at $62,834 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 23 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.9σ) between 00:13–23:42 UTC. Whale flow netted 56 BTC of buying.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.90). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.92%, Europe +0.22%, US -1.46%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.92% | -636 BTC | 43% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.22% | -237 BTC | 16% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.46% | -606 BTC | 41% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Related Days
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