BTC Flow Analysis — September 28, 2024 BULL
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,341,703 trades
Summary
On Saturday, September 28, 2024, Bitcoin went nowhere to $65,858. Net flow: -125 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 31 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ) between 01:16–20:52 UTC. Whale flow netted 136 BTC of buying.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.90 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-168 BTC), buyers dominated late (+44 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.08%, Europe -0.45%, US +0.50% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.08% | -40 BTC | 10% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.45% | -220 BTC | 56% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.50% | 135 BTC | 34% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Day 2 of a fresh bull regime. The market had just flipped from chop, and the new character was still establishing itself.
Related Days
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