Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,313,210 trades
October 02, 2024: Bitcoin traded flat. The 96 BTC of net selling flow at $60,649 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 33 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 13.8σ), spread across 00:38–23:50 UTC. The 112 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 5 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.87). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.52%, Europe -0.61%, US -1.14%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.52% | 657 BTC | 47% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.61% | -708 BTC | 50% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.14% | -46 BTC | 3% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Market conditions were bull — and this day didn't deviate. A -0.26% return against a regime average of +0.34%.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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