BTC Flow Analysis — October 13, 2024 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,242,529 trades
Summary
On Sunday, October 13, 2024, Bitcoin slipped 0.53% to $62,870. Net flow: -199 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 20 bars of outsized trades (8.9σ peak) from 00:17–21:30 UTC, adding 67 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.86 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-357 BTC), buyers dominated late (+158 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.57%, Europe -0.29%, US +0.34% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.57% | -125 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.29% | -246 BTC | 45% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.34% | 172 BTC | 32% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a chop regime (day 3), with the bull regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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