BTC Flow Analysis — October 19, 2024 BULL
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,152,428 trades
Summary
Bitcoin went nowhere on Saturday, October 19, 2024, closing at $68,378 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 51 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
35 bars of outsized trades (peak 15.9σ) appeared between 00:11–23:49 UTC, with whale flow netting 125 BTC of buying.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-372 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+321 BTC) in the back half.
Net selling for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.92 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
An unusually tight range: 1.00% from high to low. Compression days like this tend to resolve with a larger move in the days that follow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia -0.12%, Europe -0.34%, US +0.39%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.12% | -141 BTC | 20% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.34% | -242 BTC | 34% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.39% | 331 BTC | 46% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -0.07% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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