BTC Flow Analysis — October 21, 2024 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,686,777 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 2.4% on Monday, October 21, 2024, closing at $67,378 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 4,187 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 31 bars of outsized trades (25.5σ peak) from 00:14–23:59 UTC, adding 621 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.92 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 68% of directional flow — 3,308 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -0.75%, Europe -1.75%, US +0.10%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.75% | 355 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.75% | -3308 BTC | 68% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.10% | -1235 BTC | 25% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 4,187 BTC of net selling was extreme by any measure (-2.5σ vs bull-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
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