BTC Flow Analysis — October 25, 2024 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,332,593 trades
Summary
October 25, 2024: Bitcoin lost 2.2%. The 2,418 BTC of net selling flow at $66,698 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
28 bars of outsized trades (peak 8.2σ) appeared between 00:29–15:09 UTC, with whale flow netting 80 BTC of buying.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 64% of the day's net flow (1,813 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.89). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.98%, Europe +1.19%, US -2.39%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.98% | -817 BTC | 29% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.19% | 213 BTC | 7% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.39% | -1813 BTC | 64% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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