BTC Flow Analysis — November 11, 2024 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 9,348,890 trades
Summary
On Monday, November 11, 2024, Bitcoin ripped +10.3% to the upside to $88,648. Net flow: +3,351 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 45 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 11.1σ), spread across 00:16–23:59 UTC. The 771 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
The 11.6% intraday range ($80,216 – $89,531) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.99). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 76% of the net flow (2,538 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +0.92%, Europe +0.90%, US +8.32% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.92% | 162 BTC | 5% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.90% | 651 BTC | 19% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 8.32% | 2538 BTC | 76% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
A statistical outlier: +10.30% return sits at +3.6σ from the bull-regime average of +0.34%. Days like this are rare within this regime.
A +2.0σ day — buying pressure exceeded the typical bull-regime flow (-386 BTC) by a notable margin.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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