BTC Flow Analysis — December 19, 2024 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,273,941 trades
Summary
On Thursday, December 19, 2024, Bitcoin sold off -2.7% to $97,462. Net flow: -1,350 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
44 bars of outsized trades (peak 10.6σ) appeared between 01:06–23:34 UTC, with whale flow netting 92 BTC of buying.
Net selling for 4 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.88). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Across sessions: Asia +1.45%, Europe +0.29%, US -4.40% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.45% | -540 BTC | 32% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.29% | 159 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -4.40% | -969 BTC | 58% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a chop regime (day 1), with the bull regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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