BTC Flow Analysis — December 20, 2024 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,429,007 trades
Summary
December 20, 2024: Bitcoin ground out a +0.35% gain. The 3,958 BTC of net selling flow at $97,805 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 41 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.6σ), spread across 01:55–23:59 UTC. The 1,031 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Europe hours, which accounted for 65% of the day's net flow (2,578 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.38%, Europe -2.69%, US +2.73%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.38% | -1181 BTC | 30% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -2.69% | -2578 BTC | 65% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.73% | -199 BTC | 5% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -2.6σ from the chop-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 3,958 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
Day 2 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bull, and the new character was still establishing itself.
The selling streak extended to 5 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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