BTC Flow Analysis — February 12, 2025 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,992,737 trades
Summary
Bitcoin pushed +2.2% higher on Wednesday, February 12, 2025, closing at $97,870 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,510 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.43 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +2.18%.
Large players were on the wrong side — or the patient side. 22 bars of outsized trade sizes (peak 15.8σ) showed net buying, but price moved against them. Either they were accumulating into weakness or got caught.
Day 13 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 95% of directional flow — 1,450 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +0.30%, Europe -1.14%, US +3.05%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.30% | -67 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.14% | -1450 BTC | 95% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.05% | 8 BTC | 1% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were chop — and this day didn't deviate. A +2.18% return against a regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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