BTC Flow Analysis — February 25, 2025 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 10,289,145 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 3.1% on Tuesday, February 25, 2025, closing at $88,680 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 6,689 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 31 bars of outsized trades (8.3σ peak) from 00:50–23:05 UTC, adding 1,415 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.94). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -2.44%, Europe -0.55%, US -0.16%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.44% | -2837 BTC | 42% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.55% | -2726 BTC | 41% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.16% | -1125 BTC | 17% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -2.5σ from the bear-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 6,689 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
The market was 2 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
The selling streak extended to 26 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
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