BTC Flow Analysis — March 05, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 8,070,266 trades
Summary
March 05, 2025: Bitcoin climbed +3.8%. The 197 BTC of net buying flow at $90,606 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 26 bars of outsized trades (5.8σ peak) from 00:20–22:51 UTC, adding 474 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.83 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 318 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 122 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.39%, Europe +2.12%, US +1.27%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.39% | -721 BTC | 44% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 2.12% | 529 BTC | 32% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.27% | 388 BTC | 24% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +3.81% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
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