BTC Flow Analysis — March 09, 2025 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,189,138 trades
Summary
March 09, 2025: Bitcoin crashed -6.4%. The 1,928 BTC of net selling flow at $80,734 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 18 bars of outsized trades (11.5σ peak) from 00:23–11:42 UTC, adding 82 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.98). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.25%, Europe -2.92%, US -3.30%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.25% | -247 BTC | 13% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -2.92% | -932 BTC | 48% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.30% | -748 BTC | 39% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -6.37% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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