BTC Flow Analysis — March 10, 2025 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 8,701,538 trades
Summary
Bitcoin sold off -2.6% on Monday, March 10, 2025, closing at $78,596 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,836 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 28 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.9σ), spread across 01:32–23:59 UTC. The 593 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+899 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-2,735 BTC) in the back half.
This was day 4 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
The 8.3% intraday range ($77,460 – $84,123) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.88). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 80% of directional flow — 2,424 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +1.96%, Europe -0.96%, US -3.60%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.96% | 494 BTC | 16% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.96% | 94 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.60% | -2424 BTC | 80% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -2.65% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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