BTC Flow Analysis — March 12, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,253,577 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $83,680 on March 12, 2025 after ticked up 0.90%. Aggressor-side flow netted -435 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 35 bars of outsized trades (14.3σ peak) from 00:21–23:22 UTC, adding 129 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
The day split in half. Buyers controlled the first 12 hours (+9 BTC), then sellers took over (-444 BTC). The reversal changed the character of the day.
This was day 6 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.59%, Europe +0.29%, US +1.20%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.59% | 193 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.29% | -173 BTC | 21% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.20% | -455 BTC | 55% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +0.90% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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