BTC Flow Analysis — March 17, 2025 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,014,756 trades
Summary
On Monday, March 17, 2025, Bitcoin ground out a +1.74% gain to $84,010. Net flow: -439 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Despite persistent sell-side aggression (flow-price correlation -0.40), price rose +1.74%. This divergence typically signals strong passive demand — buyers who don't need to cross the spread.
Whale-sized trades (32 bars above 3σ, peak 9.4σ) pushed 1 BTC of net buying between 00:29–23:27 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 64% of the net flow (294 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia +1.20%, Europe -0.65%, US +1.19% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.20% | -155 BTC | 34% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.65% | 10 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.19% | -294 BTC | 64% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 1 day(s) away.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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