BTC Flow Analysis — April 09, 2025 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,741,252 trades
Summary
On Wednesday, April 09, 2025, Bitcoin exploded +8.2% higher to $82,615. Net flow: +3,495 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 79 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.6σ), spread across 00:47–22:41 UTC. The 1,231 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
A volatile day: 11.8% range from $74,620 to $83,588. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.93 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 82% of the net flow (4,443 BTC buying).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-1,331 BTC), buyers dominated late (+4,826 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +1.80%, Europe +0.01%, US +6.33% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.80% | -964 BTC | 18% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.01% | 16 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 6.33% | 4443 BTC | 82% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +2.3σ from the chop-regime average, this was one of the most intense buying days in the period — 3,495 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
At +3.5σ from the regime mean, this +8.25% move was an outlier within the chop period (avg +0.10%).
Related Days
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