BTC Flow Analysis — April 11, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,423,157 trades
Summary
On Friday, April 11, 2025, Bitcoin rallied +4.8% to $83,424. Net flow: +1,604 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 32 bars of outsized trades (8.6σ peak) from 00:54–23:59 UTC, adding 108 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.83). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 75% of the net flow (1,399 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +2.08%, Europe +2.05%, US +0.59% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 2.08% | -134 BTC | 7% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 2.05% | 339 BTC | 18% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.59% | 1399 BTC | 75% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +2.0σ from the regime mean, this +4.79% move was an outlier within the chop period (avg +0.10%).
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