BTC Flow Analysis — July 04, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,975,212 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $107,984 on July 04, 2025 after drifted lower (1.46%). Aggressor-side flow netted -2,218 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 52 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.0σ), spread across 02:13–23:14 UTC. The 90 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 62% of the day's directional flow, with 1,384 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.81%, Europe -0.67%, US +0.01%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.81% | -526 BTC | 24% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.67% | -308 BTC | 14% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.01% | -1384 BTC | 62% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were chop — and this day didn't deviate. A -1.46% return against a regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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