BTC Flow Analysis — July 07, 2025 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,961,940 trades
Summary
On Monday, July 07, 2025, Bitcoin slipped 0.86% to $108,263. Net flow: -1,564 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 24 bars of outsized trades (17.0σ peak) from 00:29–23:57 UTC, adding 200 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Net selling for 4 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.92 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 68% of the net flow (1,125 BTC selling).
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia -0.13%, Europe -0.48%, US -0.25%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.13% | 51 BTC | 3% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.48% | -1125 BTC | 68% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.25% | -490 BTC | 29% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -0.86% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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