BTC Flow Analysis — July 09, 2025 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,328,484 trades
Summary
Bitcoin pushed +2.1% higher on Wednesday, July 09, 2025, closing at $111,234 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 589 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 29 bars of outsized trades (17.6σ peak) from 00:43–23:50 UTC, adding 659 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.96). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.19%, Europe +0.43%, US +1.88%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.19% | -202 BTC | 20% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.43% | 376 BTC | 38% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.88% | 415 BTC | 42% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The chop regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to bull. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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