BTC Flow Analysis — July 28, 2025 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,824,777 trades
Summary
On Monday, July 28, 2025, Bitcoin slipped 1.13% to $118,062. Net flow: +488 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The -0.72 flow-price correlation reveals a mismatch — buyers crossed the spread aggressively, but price still fell -1.13%. Passive supply overwhelmed active demand.
Whale-sized trades (26 bars above 3σ, peak 8.1σ) pushed 88 BTC of net selling between 00:17–16:59 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia -0.43%, Europe -0.39%, US -0.31% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.43% | 137 BTC | 13% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.39% | 648 BTC | 60% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.31% | -297 BTC | 27% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 0 day(s) away.
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