BTC Flow Analysis — July 29, 2025 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,956,694 trades
Summary
Bitcoin traded flat on Tuesday, July 29, 2025, closing at $117,951 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 840 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 30 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.2σ), spread across 01:13–23:29 UTC. The 140 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow and price told different stories (correlation: -0.56). Aggressor-side flow leaned one way but price barely moved — the opposing side matched it passively.
Net buying for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 76% of directional flow — 638 BTC of buying — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +0.69%, Europe -0.22%, US -0.57%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.69% | 40 BTC | 5% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.22% | 638 BTC | 76% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.57% | 162 BTC | 19% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a chop regime (day 1), with the bull regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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