BTC Flow Analysis — October 07, 2025 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,390,785 trades
Summary
October 07, 2025: Bitcoin sold off -2.7%. The 2,235 BTC of net selling flow at $121,333 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 33 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.0σ) between 01:10–22:40 UTC. Whale flow netted 7 BTC of buying.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 73% of the day's net flow (1,622 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.96). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.79%, Europe +0.18%, US -2.07%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.79% | -542 BTC | 24% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.18% | -72 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.07% | -1622 BTC | 73% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bull-regime day. The -2.67% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.34%.
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