BTC Flow Analysis — October 10, 2025 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 11,404,522 trades
Summary
October 10, 2025: Bitcoin dropped 7.3% in a sharp selloff. The 3,168 BTC of net selling flow at $112,774 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 31 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ), spread across 00:29–21:16 UTC. The 781 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 76% of the day's net flow (2,750 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
The 16.9% intraday range ($102,000 – $122,550) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.96). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.60%, Europe +0.62%, US -7.32%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.60% | -646 BTC | 18% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.62% | 228 BTC | 6% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -7.32% | -2750 BTC | 76% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
A statistical outlier: -7.31% return sits at -2.7σ from the bull-regime average of +0.34%. Days like this are rare within this regime.
A -1.9σ day — selling pressure exceeded the typical bull-regime flow (-386 BTC) by a notable margin.
Related Days
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