BTC Flow Analysis — October 26, 2025 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,463,951 trades
Summary
On Sunday, October 26, 2025, Bitcoin rallied +2.6% to $114,559. Net flow: +510 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 23 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 18.0σ), spread across 00:25–21:21 UTC. The 105 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.97). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 78% of the net flow (580 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +0.07%, Europe +1.78%, US +0.75% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.07% | -115 BTC | 16% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.78% | 580 BTC | 78% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.75% | 45 BTC | 6% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a chop-regime day. The +2.61% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.10%.
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