BTC Flow Analysis — November 16, 2025 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,141,394 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $94,261 on November 16, 2025 after slipped 1.40%. Aggressor-side flow netted -2,232 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 46 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 14.8σ), spread across 00:12–23:34 UTC. The 576 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 6 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.87 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 80% of the day's directional flow, with 1,796 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.53%, Europe -0.71%, US -1.21%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.53% | -328 BTC | 15% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.71% | -109 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.21% | -1796 BTC | 80% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -1.40% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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