BTC Flow Analysis — November 20, 2025 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,841,395 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $86,637 on November 20, 2025 after plunged 5.4%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,166 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 32 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 13.1σ), spread across 00:30–21:54 UTC. The 572 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.98 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 91% of the day's directional flow, with 2,873 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.84%, Europe -0.86%, US -5.34%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.84% | -131 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.86% | -162 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -5.34% | -2873 BTC | 91% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -5.37% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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