BTC Flow Analysis — December 02, 2025 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,397,299 trades
Summary
December 02, 2025: Bitcoin surged +5.8%. The 1,186 BTC of net selling flow at $91,278 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
A textbook absorption day. Sellers hit the bid aggressively (correlation between cumulative flow and price: -0.61), but price still climbed +5.79%. The buying was passive — limit orders soaking up the supply.
The big players were active all day. 34 bars of outsized trades (19.1σ peak) from 00:29–23:39 UTC, adding 150 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 74% of the day's net flow (1,064 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.84%, Europe +0.83%, US +4.04%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.84% | 128 BTC | 9% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.83% | -250 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 4.04% | -1064 BTC | 74% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Among the final days of this bear period. Within 1 day(s), the market would flip to chop.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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