BTC Flow Analysis — December 03, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,733,182 trades
Summary
December 03, 2025: Bitcoin climbed +2.4%. The 274 BTC of net buying flow at $93,430 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
22 bars of outsized trades (peak 7.2σ) appeared between 00:35–21:45 UTC, with whale flow netting 64 BTC of selling.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Asia hours, which accounted for 62% of the day's net flow (688 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 515 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 242 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.89%, Europe +0.14%, US +0.32%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.89% | 688 BTC | 62% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.14% | -206 BTC | 19% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.32% | -208 BTC | 19% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bear regime was running out of road — 0 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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