BTC Flow Analysis — December 12, 2025 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,956,719 trades
Summary
On Friday, December 12, 2025, Bitcoin lost 2.4% to $90,268. Net flow: -706 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 28 bars of outsized trades (23.8σ peak) from 00:27–23:20 UTC, adding 190 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
This was day 9 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.84). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 65% of the net flow (528 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -0.10%, Europe -0.13%, US -2.20% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.10% | -229 BTC | 28% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.13% | 50 BTC | 6% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.20% | -528 BTC | 65% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -2.43% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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