BTC Flow Analysis — December 15, 2025 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,747,167 trades
Summary
Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.97%) on Monday, December 15, 2025, closing at $86,432 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 594 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 45 bars of outsized trades (7.9σ peak) from 00:40–23:57 UTC, adding 205 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
This was day 12 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.90). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 71% of directional flow — 478 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +1.79%, Europe -0.36%, US -3.35%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.79% | -156 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.36% | 40 BTC | 6% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.35% | -478 BTC | 71% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
Related Days
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