BTC Flow Analysis — December 17, 2025 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,058,638 trades
Summary
December 17, 2025: Bitcoin gave back 1.84%. The 1,280 BTC of net selling flow at $86,243 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 33 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.1σ), spread across 00:12–23:53 UTC. The 659 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 72% of the day's net flow (952 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Net selling for 14 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.93%, Europe +0.67%, US -1.58%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.93% | -352 BTC | 27% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.67% | 24 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.58% | -952 BTC | 72% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Among the final days of this bear period. Within 1 day(s), the market would flip to chop.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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