BTC Flow Analysis — December 19, 2025 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,482,253 trades
Summary
On Friday, December 19, 2025, Bitcoin pushed +3.1% higher to $88,137. Net flow: +504 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
42 bars of outsized trades (peak 13.5σ) appeared between 00:12–23:56 UTC, with whale flow netting 27 BTC of selling.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.85). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 90% of the net flow (523 BTC buying).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+628 BTC), sellers dominated late (-124 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +2.85%, Europe +0.05%, US +0.16% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 2.85% | 523 BTC | 90% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.05% | -38 BTC | 7% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.16% | 19 BTC | 3% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 1 day(s) into a new chop regime, having transitioned from bear. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
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