BTC Flow Analysis — December 20, 2025 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,174,426 trades
Summary
December 20, 2025: Bitcoin finished near unchanged (+0.25%). The 210 BTC of net selling flow at $88,361 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 41 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ) between 00:28–22:03 UTC. Whale flow netted 22 BTC of buying.
An unusually tight range: 0.88% from high to low. Compression days like this tend to resolve with a larger move in the days that follow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.16%, Europe -0.01%, US +0.10%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.16% | 126 BTC | 27% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.01% | -270 BTC | 58% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.10% | -66 BTC | 14% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Day 2 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bear, and the new character was still establishing itself.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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