BTC Flow Analysis — December 27, 2025 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 957,536 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $87,877 on December 27, 2025 after ticked up 0.58%. Aggressor-side flow netted -338 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Aggressor-side sellers pushed flow negative throughout the day (flow-price correlation: -0.48), yet price finished up +0.58%. Passive buyers on the bid absorbed the selling without showing up in aggressor-side data.
Whale-sized trades (33 bars above 3σ, peak 9.8σ) pushed 57 BTC of net buying between 00:11–23:46 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.19%, Europe -0.10%, US +0.49%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.19% | -124 BTC | 37% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.10% | -127 BTC | 38% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.49% | -88 BTC | 26% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The selling streak extended to 8 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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