BTC Flow Analysis — February 05, 2026 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 15,364,010 trades
Summary
On Thursday, February 05, 2026, Bitcoin plunged -14.0% to $62,910. Net flow: -8,214 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 61 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.5σ), spread across 00:19–22:02 UTC. The 6,064 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
This was day 3 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
From $62,345 to $73,341 — a 15.0% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.94 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 65% of the net flow (5,339 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia -3.29%, Europe -1.51%, US -9.73% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -3.29% | -2077 BTC | 25% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.51% | -797 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -9.73% | -5339 BTC | 65% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 8,214 BTC of net selling was extreme by any measure (-3.1σ vs bear-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
A statistical outlier: -14.02% return sits at -3.8σ from the bear-regime average of -0.27%. Days like this are rare within this regime.
Related Days
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