BTC Flow Analysis — March 02, 2026 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 8,397,526 trades
Summary
On Monday, March 02, 2026, Bitcoin rallied +4.6% to $68,830. Net flow: -1,339 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 38 bars of outsized trades (21.1σ peak) from 00:45–22:57 UTC, adding 628 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Europe and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 67% of the net flow (1,492 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-1,376 BTC), buyers dominated late (+38 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.35%, Europe -0.86%, US +5.18% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.35% | -292 BTC | 13% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.86% | -1492 BTC | 67% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 5.18% | 445 BTC | 20% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the bear regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 1 day(s) away.
Related Days
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