BTC Flow Analysis — March 21, 2026 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,640,086 trades
Summary
On Saturday, March 21, 2026, Bitcoin sold off -2.3% to $68,918. Net flow: -638 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 62 bars of outsized trades (12.8σ peak) from 00:26–23:44 UTC, adding 157 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 77% of the net flow (646 BTC selling).
Across sessions: Asia +0.31%, Europe +0.02%, US -2.58% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.31% | 99 BTC | 12% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.02% | -91 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.58% | -646 BTC | 77% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the chop regime was ending. BULL conditions were 3 day(s) away.
The selling streak extended to 3 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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