BTC Flow Analysis — March 23, 2026 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,509,730 trades
Summary
March 23, 2026: Bitcoin climbed +4.5%. The 947 BTC of net buying flow at $70,906 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
26 bars of outsized trades (peak 14.4σ) appeared between 01:59–23:50 UTC, with whale flow netting 12 BTC of selling.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.88 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.70%, Europe +4.61%, US -0.80%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.70% | 673 BTC | 42% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 4.61% | 596 BTC | 37% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.80% | -322 BTC | 20% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The chop regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to bull. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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