outlier-return 108 days
Days with returns > 2σ from regime average
2026-03-04
CHOP
6.33%
On Wednesday, March 04, 2026, Bitcoin ripped +6.3% to the upside to $72,667. Net flow: +2,364 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2026-02-06
BEAR
12.19%
On Friday, February 06, 2026, Bitcoin exploded +12.2% higher to $70,580. Net flow: +6,416 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2026-02-05
BEAR
-14.02%
On Thursday, February 05, 2026, Bitcoin plunged -14.0% to $62,910. Net flow: -8,214 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2026-01-29
CHOP
-5.21%
January 29, 2026: Bitcoin plunged -5.2%. The 5,660 BTC of net selling flow at $84,650 told a clear story — sellers were
2025-10-10
BULL
-7.31%
October 10, 2025: Bitcoin dropped 7.3% in a sharp selloff. The 3,168 BTC of net selling flow at $112,774 told a clear st
2025-05-08
BULL
6.42%
On Thursday, May 08, 2025, Bitcoin exploded +6.4% higher to $103,262. Net flow: +2,132 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2025-04-22
CHOP
6.77%
Bitcoin surged +6.8% on Tuesday, April 22, 2025, closing at $93,443 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 1,683 BTC o
2025-04-11
CHOP
4.79%
On Friday, April 11, 2025, Bitcoin rallied +4.8% to $83,424. Net flow: +1,604 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2025-04-09
CHOP
8.25%
On Wednesday, April 09, 2025, Bitcoin exploded +8.2% higher to $82,615. Net flow: +3,495 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2025-04-06
CHOP
-6.11%
April 06, 2025: Bitcoin crashed -6.1%. The 2,955 BTC of net selling flow at $78,430 told a clear story — sellers were in
2025-03-19
CHOP
4.99%
March 19, 2025: Bitcoin pushed +5.0% higher. The 543 BTC of net selling flow at $86,846 told a clear story — sellers wer
2025-03-03
BEAR
-8.54%
Bitcoin closed at $86,221 on March 03, 2025 after dropped 8.5% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,340 BTC
2025-03-02
BEAR
9.53%
On Sunday, March 02, 2025, Bitcoin surged +9.5% to $94,270. Net flow: +3,659 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2025-01-07
CHOP
-5.17%
January 07, 2025: Bitcoin dropped 5.2% in a sharp selloff. The 2,430 BTC of net selling flow at $96,955 told a clear sto
2024-12-18
BULL
-5.59%
Bitcoin closed at $100,204 on December 18, 2024 after crashed 5.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,691 BTC, favoring sell
2024-11-11
BULL
10.30%
On Monday, November 11, 2024, Bitcoin ripped +10.3% to the upside to $88,648. Net flow: +3,351 BTC — buyers had the edge
2024-11-06
BULL
8.94%
November 06, 2024: Bitcoin ripped +8.9% to the upside. The 2,361 BTC of net buying flow at $75,572 told a clear story —
2024-08-08
BULL
11.88%
Bitcoin closed at $61,686 on August 08, 2024 after ripped 11.9% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +3,003 BTC, fa
2024-08-05
BULL
-7.12%
On Monday, August 05, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -7.1% to $54,019. Net flow: -7,339 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2024-08-02
BULL
-5.90%
Bitcoin crashed -5.9% on Friday, August 02, 2024, closing at $61,498 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,416 BTC
2024-07-15
CHOP
6.46%
On Monday, July 15, 2024, Bitcoin surged +6.5% to $64,724. Net flow: -538 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2024-05-20
BULL
7.80%
Bitcoin ripped +7.8% to the upside on Monday, May 20, 2024, closing at $71,447 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with
2024-05-15
CHOP
7.52%
On Wednesday, May 15, 2024, Bitcoin exploded +7.5% higher to $66,206. Net flow: +36 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2024-04-02
CHOP
-6.01%
On Tuesday, April 02, 2024, Bitcoin dropped 6.0% in a sharp selloff to $65,464. Net flow: -759 BTC — sellers had the edg
2024-03-20
BULL
9.53%
March 20, 2024: Bitcoin surged +9.5%. The 627 BTC of net buying flow at $67,841 told a clear story — buyers were in char
2024-03-19
BULL
-8.39%
March 19, 2024: Bitcoin crashed -8.4%. The 4,595 BTC of net selling flow at $61,937 told a clear story — sellers were in
2024-03-16
BULL
-6.04%
Bitcoin closed at $65,301 on March 16, 2024 after dropped 6.0% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,447 BTC
2024-03-05
BULL
-6.63%
On Tuesday, March 05, 2024, Bitcoin crashed -6.6% to $63,724. Net flow: -713 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2024-03-04
BULL
8.13%
Bitcoin surged +8.1% on Monday, March 04, 2024, closing at $68,246 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 5,803 BTC of
2024-02-28
BULL
9.46%
Bitcoin ripped +9.5% to the upside on Wednesday, February 28, 2024, closing at $62,432 as buyers controlled aggregate fl
2024-01-22
CHOP
-4.84%
Bitcoin closed at $39,568 on January 22, 2024 after fell 4.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -1,850 BTC, favoring sellers.
2024-01-12
BULL
-7.67%
Bitcoin dropped 7.7% in a sharp selloff on Friday, January 12, 2024, closing at $42,783 as sellers controlled aggregate
2024-01-08
BULL
6.88%
January 08, 2024: Bitcoin surged +6.9%. The 4,643 BTC of net buying flow at $46,951 told a clear story — buyers were in
2023-12-11
BULL
-5.79%
December 11, 2023: Bitcoin dropped 5.8% in a sharp selloff. The 3,665 BTC of net selling flow at $41,253 told a clear st
2023-11-15
BULL
6.49%
November 15, 2023: Bitcoin ripped +6.5% to the upside. The 2,715 BTC of net buying flow at $37,858 told a clear story —
2023-10-23
BULL
10.26%
October 23, 2023: Bitcoin ripped +10.3% to the upside. The 2,165 BTC of net buying flow at $33,070 told a clear story —
2023-10-16
CHOP
4.96%
Bitcoin closed at $28,501 on October 16, 2023 after climbed 5.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +3,077 BTC, favoring buyers
2023-06-21
BULL
5.96%
Bitcoin exploded +6.0% higher on Wednesday, June 21, 2023, closing at $29,994 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 2
2023-06-20
CHOP
5.45%
Bitcoin closed at $28,308 on June 20, 2023 after surged 5.5%. Aggressor-side flow netted +438 BTC, favoring buyers.
2023-04-19
CHOP
-5.21%
April 19, 2023: Bitcoin crashed -5.2%. The 3,640 BTC of net selling flow at $28,797 told a clear story — sellers were in
2023-03-17
BEAR
9.59%
March 17, 2023: Bitcoin surged +9.6%. The 11,585 BTC of net buying flow at $27,395 told a clear story — buyers were in c
2023-03-13
BEAR
9.62%
Bitcoin closed at $24,113 on March 13, 2023 after exploded 9.6% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +5,487 BTC, favoring
2023-03-12
BEAR
7.54%
Bitcoin ripped +7.5% to the upside on Sunday, March 12, 2023, closing at $21,997 as buyers controlled aggregate flow wit
2023-03-03
CHOP
-4.73%
On Friday, March 03, 2023, Bitcoin lost 4.7% to $22,354. Net flow: -6,300 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2023-02-15
BULL
9.57%
Bitcoin closed at $24,324 on February 15, 2023 after ripped 9.6% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +5,927 BTC, f
2023-01-20
BULL
7.57%
On Friday, January 20, 2023, Bitcoin ripped +7.6% to the upside to $22,667. Net flow: +2,321 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2023-01-12
CHOP
5.03%
On Thursday, January 12, 2023, Bitcoin surged +5.0% to $18,847. Net flow: +22 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2022-11-10
BEAR
10.54%
On Thursday, November 10, 2022, Bitcoin surged +10.5% to $17,601. Net flow: -2,651 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2022-11-09
BEAR
-14.14%
Bitcoin closed at $15,923 on November 09, 2022 after dropped 14.1% in a sharp selloff. Aggressor-side flow netted -14,52
2022-11-08
CHOP
-9.92%
On Tuesday, November 08, 2022, Bitcoin dropped 9.9% in a sharp selloff to $18,547. Net flow: -11,154 BTC — sellers had t
2022-09-13
BEAR
-9.92%
On Tuesday, September 13, 2022, Bitcoin plunged -9.9% to $20,174. Net flow: +2,374 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2022-09-09
BEAR
10.56%
On Friday, September 09, 2022, Bitcoin surged +10.6% to $21,360. Net flow: +7,039 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2022-08-19
BULL
-10.16%
August 19, 2022: Bitcoin dropped 10.2% in a sharp selloff. The 4,792 BTC of net selling flow at $20,834 told a clear sto
2022-07-27
BULL
7.99%
On Wednesday, July 27, 2022, Bitcoin surged +8.0% to $22,952. Net flow: +2,067 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2022-07-25
BULL
-5.61%
July 25, 2022: Bitcoin plunged -5.6%. The 4,301 BTC of net selling flow at $21,311 told a clear story — sellers were in
2022-07-18
BULL
7.85%
July 18, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +7.9% to the upside. The 4,854 BTC of net buying flow at $22,433 told a clear story — buye
2022-06-19
BEAR
8.45%
On Sunday, June 19, 2022, Bitcoin surged +8.5% to $20,574. Net flow: +3,423 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2022-06-16
BEAR
-9.66%
Bitcoin closed at $20,401 on June 16, 2022 after crashed 9.7%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,576 BTC, favoring sellers.
2022-06-13
BEAR
-15.38%
On Monday, June 13, 2022, Bitcoin crashed -15.4% to $22,487. Net flow: -11,814 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2022-06-12
CHOP
-6.51%
Bitcoin plunged -6.5% on Sunday, June 12, 2022, closing at $26,575 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 5,397 BTC o
2022-05-30
BEAR
7.69%
May 30, 2022: Bitcoin exploded +7.7% higher. The 6,737 BTC of net selling flow at $31,734 told a clear story — sellers w
2022-05-09
BEAR
-11.64%
Bitcoin closed at $30,076 on May 09, 2022 after crashed 11.6%. Aggressor-side flow netted -18,799 BTC, favoring sellers.
2022-05-05
BEAR
-7.90%
Bitcoin dropped 7.9% in a sharp selloff on Thursday, May 05, 2022, closing at $36,553 as sellers controlled aggregate fl
2022-04-11
CHOP
-6.23%
On Monday, April 11, 2022, Bitcoin plunged -6.2% to $39,530. Net flow: -2,474 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2022-03-14
CHOP
5.01%
Bitcoin closed at $39,671 on March 14, 2022 after exploded 5.0% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,348 BTC, favoring
2022-03-10
BULL
-6.01%
Bitcoin closed at $39,422 on March 10, 2022 after plunged 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,354 BTC, favoring sellers.
2022-03-09
BULL
8.29%
Bitcoin ripped +8.3% to the upside on Wednesday, March 09, 2022, closing at $41,942 as buyers controlled aggregate flow
2022-03-04
BULL
-7.79%
Bitcoin crashed -7.8% on Friday, March 04, 2022, closing at $39,149 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,319 BTC
2022-02-28
BULL
14.49%
February 28, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +14.5% to the upside. The 3,142 BTC of net buying flow at $43,160 told a clear story —
2022-02-17
CHOP
-7.65%
February 17, 2022: Bitcoin plunged -7.7%. The 4,309 BTC of net selling flow at $40,516 told a clear story — sellers were
2022-02-04
CHOP
11.42%
February 04, 2022: Bitcoin ripped +11.4% to the upside. The 1,403 BTC of net buying flow at $41,574 told a clear story —
2022-01-21
BEAR
-10.41%
On Friday, January 21, 2022, Bitcoin crashed -10.4% to $36,445. Net flow: -5,631 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2021-12-04
BEAR
-8.30%
Bitcoin dropped 8.3% in a sharp selloff on Saturday, December 04, 2021, closing at $49,152 as sellers controlled aggrega
2021-11-26
BEAR
-8.88%
November 26, 2021: Bitcoin plunged -8.9%. The 3,353 BTC of net selling flow at $53,727 told a clear story — sellers were
2021-11-16
CHOP
-5.58%
On Tuesday, November 16, 2021, Bitcoin crashed -5.6% to $60,059. Net flow: -4,705 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2021-11-08
BULL
6.72%
On Monday, November 08, 2021, Bitcoin surged +6.7% to $67,526. Net flow: +3,316 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-10-21
BULL
-5.77%
Bitcoin closed at $62,193 on October 21, 2021 after crashed 5.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,522 BTC, favoring seller
2021-10-15
BULL
7.54%
October 15, 2021: Bitcoin ripped +7.5% to the upside. The 5,314 BTC of net buying flow at $61,672 told a clear story — b
2021-10-06
CHOP
7.47%
On Wednesday, October 06, 2021, Bitcoin surged +7.5% to $55,315. Net flow: +1,451 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-10-01
BEAR
9.86%
Bitcoin closed at $48,142 on October 01, 2021 after ripped 9.9% to the upside. Aggressor-side flow netted +2,069 BTC, fa
2021-09-20
BEAR
-8.95%
Bitcoin crashed -8.9% on Monday, September 20, 2021, closing at $43,016 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 5,787
2021-09-14
CHOP
4.83%
Bitcoin closed at $47,112 on September 14, 2021 after rallied 4.8%. Aggressor-side flow netted -491 BTC, favoring seller
2021-09-07
CHOP
-11.02%
On Tuesday, September 07, 2021, Bitcoin crashed -11.0% to $46,864. Net flow: -7,178 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2021-08-13
BULL
7.66%
Bitcoin closed at $47,800 on August 13, 2021 after exploded 7.7% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +2,497 BTC, favoring
2021-07-27
BULL
5.95%
Bitcoin closed at $39,458 on July 27, 2021 after surged 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,877 BTC, favoring buyers.
2021-07-21
BEAR
7.90%
On Wednesday, July 21, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +7.9% to the upside to $32,145. Net flow: +2,373 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-06-27
BEAR
7.49%
June 27, 2021: Bitcoin surged +7.5%. The 932 BTC of net buying flow at $34,700 told a clear story — buyers were in charg
2021-06-25
BEAR
-8.88%
Bitcoin dropped 8.9% in a sharp selloff on Friday, June 25, 2021, closing at $31,584 as sellers controlled aggregate flo
2021-06-21
BEAR
-11.21%
On Monday, June 21, 2021, Bitcoin plunged -11.2% to $31,609. Net flow: -6,184 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2021-06-18
CHOP
-5.97%
Bitcoin closed at $35,820 on June 18, 2021 after crashed 6.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -5,579 BTC, favoring sellers.
2021-06-13
BEAR
9.77%
On Sunday, June 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +9.8% to the upside to $39,021. Net flow: +4,430 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-06-09
BEAR
12.00%
Bitcoin closed at $37,388 on June 09, 2021 after surged 12.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted +973 BTC, favoring buyers.
2021-05-24
BEAR
11.86%
Bitcoin closed at $38,796 on May 24, 2021 after surged 11.9%. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,539 BTC, favoring buyers.
2021-05-21
BEAR
-8.08%
On Friday, May 21, 2021, Bitcoin plunged -8.1% to $37,252. Net flow: -14,096 BTC — sellers had the edge.
2021-05-20
BEAR
10.51%
Bitcoin exploded +10.5% higher on Thursday, May 20, 2021, closing at $40,527 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2
2021-05-19
BEAR
-14.38%
May 19, 2021: Bitcoin plunged -14.4%. The 17,805 BTC of net selling flow at $36,690 told a clear story — sellers were in
2021-05-12
BEAR
-12.42%
Bitcoin crashed -12.4% on Wednesday, May 12, 2021, closing at $49,631 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,243 BT
2021-05-05
BEAR
7.95%
Bitcoin ripped +8.0% to the upside on Wednesday, May 05, 2021, closing at $57,436 as buyers controlled aggregate flow wi
2021-04-30
BEAR
7.73%
April 30, 2021: Bitcoin ripped +7.7% to the upside. The 2,689 BTC of net buying flow at $57,694 told a clear story — buy
2021-04-26
BEAR
10.06%
Bitcoin exploded +10.1% higher on Monday, April 26, 2021, closing at $54,001 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 57
2021-04-21
CHOP
-4.67%
Bitcoin sold off -4.7% on Wednesday, April 21, 2021, closing at $53,788 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,607
2021-04-18
CHOP
-6.43%
April 18, 2021: Bitcoin crashed -6.4%. The 6,073 BTC of net selling flow at $56,150 told a clear story — sellers were in
2021-04-13
BULL
6.21%
On Tuesday, April 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +6.2% to the upside to $63,575. Net flow: +476 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-03-26
CHOP
7.28%
March 26, 2021: Bitcoin exploded +7.3% higher. The 169 BTC of net selling flow at $55,026 told a clear story — sellers w
2021-03-22
CHOP
-5.70%
On Monday, March 22, 2021, Bitcoin dropped 5.7% in a sharp selloff to $54,083. Net flow: -1,084 BTC — sellers had the ed
2021-03-15
CHOP
-5.72%
Bitcoin plunged -5.7% on Monday, March 15, 2021, closing at $55,605 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,121 BTC
2021-03-13
CHOP
6.93%
On Saturday, March 13, 2021, Bitcoin ripped +6.9% to the upside to $61,188. Net flow: +5,529 BTC — buyers had the edge.
2021-03-09
CHOP
4.79%
Bitcoin climbed +4.8% on Tuesday, March 09, 2021, closing at $54,884 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,634 BTC